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Sur Place Risk Analyses

Sur place activity risk analyses examining diaspora political expression, digital footprint exposure, and return-related repercussions.

Overview

Scope of analysis

Sur place claims turn on activities undertaken after leaving the country of origin—protests, media commentary, organisational membership, or digital expression. Analyses examine how such activity is monitored, attributed, and sanctioned on return, using objective institutional and open-source materials.

Process

Evidentiary process

  1. Scope the sur place activity categories relevant to the instruction

  2. Review documented monitoring, intelligence cooperation, and return interview practices

  3. Assess attribution risk from public digital footprints and diaspora networks

  4. Evaluate differential risk by profile, visibility, and destination region

  5. Deliver a cited analysis suitable for tribunal scrutiny

When instructed

Typical instruction contexts

  • When sur place political or activist activity forms a core limb of the claim
  • When digital visibility or media coverage creates return-related exposure
  • When opposing materials deny state interest in diaspora activity
  • When counsel requires objective evidence on monitoring and reprisal patterns
Standards

Tribunal & CPR alignment

Sur place analyses remain strictly evidence-based. Experts do not verify the appellant's account of activities; they assess objective country and diaspora-related evidence against the instructed risk questions.

Questions

Frequently asked questions

What is a sur place risk COI analysis?
It is an independent assessment of objective country and diaspora-related evidence concerning risks arising from activities undertaken after departure—such as protests, publications, or organisational affiliation—rather than risks grounded solely in pre-flight events.
Do you use real claimant data in examples or reports?
No. Instructions must use sanitised initials or reference codes only. Full names, Home Office numbers, and unredacted personal evidence must not be submitted through web forms.